新加坡金融管理局(简称:金管局)周三表示,新冠大流行造成的新加坡经济衰退可能比之前的衰退程度更深、持续时间更长。
金管局表示,由于公司和家庭受到收入减少和不确定性增加的制约,预计随后几个季度的复苏步伐将放缓。金管局在其半年度宏观经济评估报告中表示,一些经济领域,尤其是与旅行相关的领域和一些人与人之间接触较多的国内服务业,即使到2021年底也不太可能恢复到疫情前的水平。
金管局表示:“疫情冲击的性质使得这次危机比过去的经济衰退程度更深,而且可能更持久。”
该央行表示,新加坡劳动力市场的复苏可能是不均衡和缓慢的。居民失业率可能在2021年保持高位,工资增长保持低位。
金管局还表示,通胀只会从低谷逐步回升。对于2021年,预计整体消费者价格指数(CPI)将在下降0.5%至上升0.5%之间,核心CPI升幅预计在0.0%至1.0%之间。对于2020年,整体和核心CPI可能都在下降0.5%至上升0.0%之间。
金管局重申,货币政策将在一段时间内保持宽松。10月该央行维持新加坡元名义有效汇率政策区间的零斜率不变,并暗示一段时间内宽松货币政策立场将是适宜的。
金管局称:“这将支持新加坡经济度过脆弱的复苏期,并确保中期价格稳定。”

This round of Singapore economy recession or the recession was deeper than ever before, and last longer
The monetary authority of Singapore (hereinafter referred to as: the MAS) said on Wednesday that the new crown pandemic caused by Singapore's economic recession probably recession was deeper than before, and last longer.
The MAS said that due to firms and households is restricted by the increased revenues and uncertainty, then a few quarters of recovery is expected to slow. The MAS said in its semiannual macroeconomic assessment report, some areas of the economy, especially in areas associated with travel and some contact between people more domestic services, even to the end of 2021, is unlikely to recover to the level before the outbreak.
The MAS said: "the impact of the nature of the epidemic that the crisis of the recession was deeper than in the past, and may be more lasting."
The central bank, said Singapore Labour market recovery may not be balanced and slow. Residents of unemployment could remain high in 2021, low wage growth.
The MAS also said that inflation will only gradually recovered from the trough. In 2021, the overall consumer price index (CPI) is estimated to be dropped 0.5% to 0.5% rise in between, the core CPI inflation is expected to between 0.0% and 1.0%. In 2020, the overall and core consumer prices may be rising fell 0.5% to 0.0%.
The MAS reiterated that will be for a period of time to maintain loose monetary policy. In October the central bank to maintain RMB nominal effective exchange rate policy of Singapore interval of zero slope is constant, and suggests a period of time will be appropriate loose monetary policy stance.
The MAS said: "this will support Singapore's economic through the fragile recovery, and ensure the medium-term price stability."